With the new year, we once again bring you our traditional analysis of the past several months in the real estate market. In the second half of last year, we continued to see a growth in property prices, although the volume of sales decreased compared to the first half of the year. This shows that the premium residential real estate segment remains healthy and the market thankfully isn’t overheating.
Czechs traditionally see real estate as a guaranteed investment and one of the pillars of security in their retirement income. This is a step in the right direction, which is why I continue to be surprised by how few investors can correctly calculate the return on equity when purchasing real estate. In fact, even a small-scale investor with a modest residential portfolio can behave like a large investment fund through the ongoing refinancing of mortgage loans.
This investment perspective thus disrupts the often-repeated media narrative that real estate in the Czech Republic is unaffordable. Financial services are directly linked to the growing real estate market and are fundamental and essential for a significant proportion of buyers. Disruption of this delicate ecosystem, for example through a correction in real estate prices, would significantly reduce banks’ willingness to provide mortgages. Paradoxically, a decline in apartment prices wouldn’t help solve the housing situation, but would further increase the unavailability of housing.
Systemic measures that could reduce housing unavailability include opening up the rental market to pension funds, something the government approved last year, and involving European funds in the construction of municipal rental housing. The first projects from Česká spořitelna’s portfolio (DBČS) indicate a trend that should last. At Svoboda & Williams, we’re seeing a heightened interest in rental project development. In the medium term, this could add thousands of new units to the market, and an increased supply is the most effective tool for truly improving housing affordability. For many, however, this will mean overcoming a mental barrier—in the most sought-after locations, the main focus won’t be on owner-occupied housing, but on rental housing.
Attractive opportunities are also available to small investors who can’t afford premium assets in Prague. At Svoboda & Williams, we’ve observed that, along with purchasing power, demand for high-quality residential projects is also growing in the country’s regions, whether in the West Bohemian spa triangle, the greater Ostrava area, or other locations with strong development potential. Expansion outside of the capital city will therefore be one of the main themes for our company this year. In addition to our existing branches in Brno and Ostrava, our plan is to open branches in Karlovy Vary and České Budějovice.